The role of health policy in the prevention of venous thromboembolism in the UK National Health Service-Learning from the past, looking to the future.

Venous thromboembolism is the third most common cause of cardiovascular death globally and many diagnoses are preventable. The UK NHS has led international efforts to reduce VTE, particularly hospital-associated VTE, through coordinated national policy action and world-leading research. Despite this, VTE remains an important cause of morbidity and mortality in the UK, as underlined by the recent COVID-19 pandemic. Future reductions in VTE incidence/deaths will require progress on several fronts: a better understanding of case mix; revisiting VTE risk assessment, focussing on thromboprophylaxis failure and improving awareness of VTE amongst clinicians and the public. Changes to healthcare delivery, with care increasingly delivered outside of hospital, alongside changing disease patterns, including the rise in obesity, have huge implications for VTE and will dramatically alter prevention. The UK, with its nationalised healthcare model and long history of policy action on VTE, provides a unique lens through which to study past successes and future priorities for VTE prevention.

Abdominal aortic mural thrombus in association with active ulcerative colitis.

Aortic mural thrombus (AMT) in the absence of aneurysm or atherosclerosis is a rare clinical finding and an uncommon cause of peripheral arterial embolization. AMT in a normal artery is usually attributed to systemic hypercoagulability. We describe a case of subacute lower limb ischemia due to AMT associated with active ulcerative colitis (UC). A 46-year-old man with active UC was referred to our hospital for the evaluation and treatment of left leg pain. Ultrasound and contrast computed tomography showed occlusion of the left popliteal artery, and an AMT in the abdominal aorta between the inferior mesenteric artery and the aortic bifurcation. We started anticoagulant therapy, intravenous infliximab, and cytapheresis. Four weeks after initiating anticoagulation therapy, we were able to successfully treat the AMT with anticoagulation therapy without surgical thrombectomy. The inflammatory status of ulcerative colitis was also under control, and AMT had not recurred at 1 year after treatment. Invasive therapies are often selected to treat AMT. However, if a patient's hypercoagulable state is controlled, AMT can safely be treated with anticoagulation therapy alone without recurrence. Learning objective: Aortic mural thrombus (AMT) in the absence of aneurysm or atherosclerosis is a rare clinical finding and an uncommon cause of peripheral arterial embolization. AMT in a normal artery is usually attributed to systemic hypercoagulability. We describe a case of subacute lower limb ischemia due to AMT associated with active ulcerative colitis. We controlled the ulcerative colitis condition and successfully treated the AMT with anticoagulation therapy alone.

Effect of anticoagulation on the incidence of venous thromboembolism, major bleeding, and mortality among hospitalized COVID-19 patients: an updated meta-analysis.

Objective: Anticoagulation is crucial for patients hospitalized with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) due to the high risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE). However, the optimal anticoagulation regimen needs further exploration. Therefore, we evaluated the efficacy and safety of diverse anticoagulation dosage dosages for COVID-19. Methods: An updated meta-analysis was performed to assess the effect of thromboprophylaxis (standard, intermediate, and therapeutic dose) on the incidence of VTE, mortality and major bleeding among COVID-19 patients. Literature was searched via PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, and China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI) database. The odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated for effect estimates. Results: Nineteen studies involving 25,289 participants without VTE history were included. The mean age of patients was 59.3 years old. About 50.96% were admitted to the intensive care unit. In the pooled analysis, both therapeutic-dose and intermediate-dose anticoagulation did not have a significant advantage in reducing VTE risk over standard dosage (OR = 1.09, 95% CI: 0.58-2.02, and OR = 0.89, 95% CI: 0.70-1.12, respectively). Similarly, all-cause mortality was not further decreased in either therapeutic-dose group (OR = 1.12, 95% CI: 0.75-1.67) or intermediate-dose group (OR = 1.34, 95% CI: 0.83-2.17). While the major bleeding risk was significantly elevated in the therapeutic-dose group (OR = 2.59, 95%CI: 1.87-3.57) as compared with the standard-dose regimen. Compared with intermediate dosage, therapeutic anticoagulation did not reduce consequent VTE risk (OR = 0.85, 95% CI: 0.52-1.38) and all-cause mortality (OR = 0.84, 95% CI: 0.60-1.17), but significantly increased major bleeding rate (OR = 2.42, 95% CI: 1.58-3.70). In subgroup analysis of patients older than 65 years, therapeutic anticoagulation significantly lowered the incidence of VTE in comparation comparison with standard thromboprophylaxis, however, at the cost of elevated risk of major bleeding. Conclusion: Our results indicated that for most hospitalized patients with COVID-19, standard-dose prophylactic anticoagulation might be the optimal choice. For elderly patients at low risk of bleeding, therapeutic-dose anticoagulation could further reduce VTE risk and should be considered especially when there were other strong risk factors of VTE during hospital stay. Systematic Review Registration: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO, identifier, CRD42023388429.

Equivalent thrombotic risk with Warfarin, Dabigatran, or Enoxaparin after failure of initial direct oral anticoagulation (DOAC) therapy.

BACKGROUND: The direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) are now commonly regarded as first line anticoagulants in most cases of venous thromboembolism (VTE). However, the optimal choice of subsequent anticoagulant in instances of first line DOAC failure is unclear. OBJECTIVES: To describe and compare outcomes with second line anticoagulants used after DOAC failure. METHODS: Patients seen at an urban hospital system for an episode of acute VTE initially treated with either apixaban or rivaroxaban who experienced a subsequent recurrent thrombosis while on anticoagulation (1st recurrent thrombosis) were included. RESULTS: In total, 166 patients after apixaban or rivaroxaban failure were included. Following DOAC failure (1st recurrent thrombosis), the subsequent anticoagulant was warfarin in 60 patients (36%), dabigatran in 42 patients (25%), and enoxaparin in 64 patients (39%). Enoxaparin was preferentially prescribed in patients with a malignancy-associated etiology for 1st recurrent thrombosis (p < 0.01). The median follow-up time in our cohort was 16 months. There was no difference in 2nd recurrent thrombosis-free survival (p = 0.72) or risk for major bleeding event (p = 0.30) among patients treated with dabigatran, warfarin, or enoxaparin. CONCLUSIONS: In this retrospective analysis of patients failing first line DOAC therapy, rates of 2nd recurrent thrombosis and bleeding did not differ among subsequently chosen anticoagulants. Our study provides evidence that the optimal 2nd anticoagulant is not clear, and the choice of 2nd anticoagulant should continue to balance patient preference, cost, and provider experience.

Comparison of the PADUA and IMPROVE scores in assessing venous thromboembolism risk in 42,257 medical inpatients in China.

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a major contributor to hospital mortality and disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) loss. Multiple guidelines recommend using the Padua or IMPROVE scores to stratify VTE risk in hospitalized medical patients. However, the IMPROVE score is not recommended in Chinese guidelines, and there is very little evaluation of its clinical application and effectiveness in the Chinese population. The objective of this study is to compare the efficacy of the Padua and IMPROVE scoring models for assessing VTE risk in Chinese medical inpatients. We conducted a retrospective analysis of the clinical characteristics and thrombotic risk of 42,257 medical inpatients at a tertiary hospital in Guangdong, China, between 2021 and 2022. Logistic regression was used to assess thrombotic risk factors. The Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves, Area Under the Curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity were employed to evaluate the performance of the two models. Of the 42,257 patients included, 948 (2.24%) experienced VTE during hospitalization. According to the Padua score, 3,7513 (88.78%) of patients were considered low risk, while 4,744 (18.22%) were classified as high risk. The IMPROVE score identified 20,744 (49.09%) of patients as low risk, 20799(49.22%) as intermediate risk, and 714(1.69%) as high risk. The AUC for the Padua score was 0.735 (95% CI: 0.717-0.753), with a sensitivity of 49.4% and specificity of 89.6%. For the IMPROVE score, the AUC was 0.711 (95% CI: 0.693-0.729), with a sensitivity of 32.5% and specificity of 99.0%. The DeLong test, used to compare the AUCs, yielded a z-value of 1.886 with a P-value of 0.059, indicating no statistical difference. When assessing VTE risk in patients with stroke, cancer, nephrotic syndrome, and critical illness (ICU/CCU stay), both scoring models showed comparable predictive performance with AUCs ranging between 0.7 and 0.8. Both the Padua score and IMPROVE score have good predictive ability for VTE events during hospitalization in medical patients. Among them, the IMPROVE score has objective assessment items, simpler operation, and more detailed risk stratification, which is beneficial for clinicians to take physical and pharmacological preventive measures at different levels.ChiCTR2200056903, February 22, retrospectively registered.

A Deep Learning Approach to Predict Bleeding Risk Over Time in Patients on Extended Anticoagulation Therapy.

BACKGROUND: Thus far, all the clinical models developed to predict major bleeding in patients on extended anticoagulation therapy use the baseline predictors to stratify patients into different risk groups. Therefore, these models do not account for the clinical changes and events that occur after the baseline visit, which can modify risk of bleeding. However, it is difficult to develop predictive models from the routine follow-up clinical interviews which are irregular sequences of multivariate time series data. OBJECTIVES: To demonstrate that deep learning can incorporate patient time-series follow-up data to improve prediction of major bleeding. METHOD: We used the baseline and follow-up data that was collected over 8 years in a longitudinal cohort study of 2542 patients, of whom 118 had major bleeding. Four supervised neural network-based machine learning models were trained on the baseline, or the follow-up, or both datasets on 70% of the data. The performance of these models was evaluated, along with modified versions of previously developed clinical models (CHAP, ACCP, RIETE, VTE-BLEED, HAS-BLED, and OBRI), on the remaining 30% of the data. RESULTS: An ensemble of feedforward and recurrent neural networks that used the baseline and follow-up data was the best-performing model, achieving a sensitivity and a specificity of 61% and 82%, respectively, in identifying major bleeding, and it outperformed the previously developed clinical models in terms of area under the ROC curve (82%) and area under the precision-recall curve (14%). CONCLUSION: Time series follow-up data can improve major bleeding prediction in patients on extended anticoagulation therapy.

Management of Abnormal Uterine Bleeding on Anticoagulation: The Patient-Clinician Perspective.

Bleeding is a well-recognized side effect of anticoagulant therapy, which is used to treat venous thromboembolism (VTE) in individuals of all ages, including those of female sex, who commonly experience VTE as a complication of hormonal therapies and/or pregnancy. Heavy menstrual bleeding (HMB) is also extremely common in reproductive aged individuals of female sex. Despite these overlapping situations, relatively little attention has been paid to the impact of anticoagulant-associated HMB on treatment strategies and the patient experience. In this review, we summarize incidence and complications of HMB in anticoagulated individuals as well as management strategies for HMB in this population. We also address the patient experience, including the impact of HMB on quality of life and the impact of discontinuing hormonal therapies at the time of VTE diagnosis and anticoagulant initiation. We conclude by highlighting specific gaps related to the patient experience of anticoagulant-associated HMB in both the research and clinical settings.

Primary thromboprophylaxis in cancer outpatients - real-world evidence.

INTRODUCTION: Cancer-associated thrombosis (CAT) is a significant concern among patients with malignant diseases, leading to increased mortality. While current guidelines recommend primary thromboprophylaxis for venous thromboembolism (VTE) in medium-to-high-risk outpatients, this practice remains controversial. A better understanding of primary thromboprophylaxis is crucial, yet there is a lack of Real-World Evidence (RWE) in Portugal. AIMS: This RWE study aimed to elucidate primary thromboprophylaxis practices among cancer outpatients in Portugal. METHODS: A five-year observational multicentric study in eight Portuguese health institutions enrolled 124 adult cancer outpatients under primary thromboprophylaxis for VTE. The endpoints were CAT, bleeding, cancer progression and death. RESULTS: High thrombotic risk tumours were prevalent, with 57% (71) of the patients presenting with pancreatic and gastric cancers. Regarding primary thromboprophylaxis, 55% (68) received Low-Molecular-Weight Heparin (LMWH). VTE was presented in 11% (14) of the patients and major bleeding in 2% (2). Vascular compression, elevated D-dimer and previous VTE were significantly associated with VTE occurrence under primary thromboprophylaxis. The Onkotev model was shown to be the best risk assessment model (RAM) in this population (p = 0.007). CAT patients exhibited a lower progression-free survival than non-CAT patients (p = 0.021), while thrombosis did not influence overall survival (p = 0.542). CONCLUSION: Primary thromboprophylaxis in medium-to-high-risk cancer outpatients is a safe and effective practice in real-world settings. This study is the first Portuguese RWE on primary thromboprophylaxis, highlighting evidence for improving prophylactic strategies in this population.

Haemostatic gene variations in cervical cancer-associated venous thrombosis: considerations for clinical strategies.

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a life-threatening haemostatic disease frequently diagnosed among the cancer population. The Khorana Score is currently the primal risk assessment model to stratify oncological patients according to their susceptibility to VTE, however, it displays a limited performance. Meanwhile, intensive research on VTE pathophysiology in the general population has uncovered a range of single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with the condition. Nonetheless, their predictive ability concerning cancer-associated thrombosis (CAT) is controversial. Cervical cancer (CC) patients undergoing chemoradiotherapy often experience VTE, which negatively affects their survival. Thus, aiming for an improvement in thromboprophylaxis, new thrombotic biomarkers, including SNPs, are currently under investigation. In this study, the predictive capability of haemostatic gene SNPs on CC-related VTE and their prognostic value regardless of VTE were explored. Six SNPs in haemostatic genes were evaluated. A total of 401 CC patients undergoing chemoradiotherapy were enrolled in a retrospective cohort study. The implications for the time to VTE occurrence and overall survival (OS) were assessed. CAT considerably impacted the CC patients' OS (log-rank test, P < 0.001). SERPINE1 rs2070682 (T > C) showed a significant association with the risk of CC-related VTE (CC/CT vs. TT, log-rank test, P = 0.002; C allele, Cox model, hazard ratio (HR) = 6.99 and P = 0.009), while F2 rs1799963 (G > A) demonstrated an important prognostic value regardless of VTE (AA/AG vs. GG, log-rank test, P = 0.020; A allele, Cox model, HR = 2.76 and P = 0.026). For the remaining SNPs, no significant associations were detected. The polymorphisms SERPINE1 rs2070682 and F2 rs1799963 could be valuable tools in clinical decision-making, aiding in thromboprophylaxis and CC management, respectively.

Trends In Percutaneous Device Use For The Treatment Of Venous Thromboembolism Over Time In The PINC AI Healthcare Database And The National Inpatient Sample.

The number of different methodologies of reperfusion therapy to treat venous thromboembolism (VTE) has increased substantially. Nevertheless, investigation of data representativeness and device-level usage in administrative databases has been limited. Using the National Inpatient Sample (NIS) and the PINC AI Healthcare Database (PHD), all hospital encounters with a diagnosis code of VTE were identified between 1/1/2016 and 12/31/2020. Patient demographics and trends in treatment modalities were evaluated over time. An algorithm was developed to identify specific devices used for VTE treatment in the PHD cohort. 145,870 VTE patients treated with reperfusion therapy were identified in the NIS (Pulmonary embolism (PE): 88,725; isolated DVT (iDVT): 57,145) and 39,311 in the PHD (PE: 25,383; iDVT: 13,928). Patient demographics were qualitatively similar in the NIS and PHD. Over time, there was a significant increase in the use of mechanical thrombectomy (MT) in the PE and iDVT populations (p<0.05 in both databases) with catheter directed thrombolysis (CDT) use plateauing in PE (p=0.83 and p=0.14 in NIS and PHD respectively) and significantly decreasing for the iDVT population (p<0.05 in both databases). In the PHD cohort, specific reperfusion devices were identified in 14,105 patients (PE: 9,098; iDVT: 5,007). In conclusion, the use of MT for the treatment of VTE has increased over time, while rates of CDT therapy have remained stagnant or decreased. Further research is needed to understand the uptake of these treatment modalities as well as the unique abilities of the PHD to study specific device therapy in the VTE population.

Next Generation Sequencing strategies in venous thromboembolism: in whom and for what purpose ?

This invited review follows the oral presentation "To Sequence or Not to Sequence, That Is Not the Question; But "When, Who, Which and What For?" Is " given during the State Of the Art session Translational Genomics in Thrombosis: From OMICs to Clinics" of the ISTH 2023 congress. Emphasizing the power of next-generation sequencing technologies and the diverse strategies associated with DNA variant analysis, this review highlights the unresolved questions and challenges in their implementation both for the clinical diagnosis of venous thromboembolism and in translational research.

External Validation of the Risk Assessment Model of Venous Thromboembolism in Multicenter Internal Medicine Inpatients.

To external validate the risk assessment model (RAM) of venous thromboembolism (VTE) in multicenter internal medicine inpatients. We prospectively collected 595 internal medical patients (310 with VTE patients, 285 non-VTE patients) were from Beijing Shijitan Hospital, Beijing Chaoyang Hospital, and the respiratory department of Beijing Tsinghua Changgeng Hospital from January 2022 to December 2022 for multicenter external validation. The prediction ability of Caprini RAM, Padua RAM, The International Medical Prevention Registry on Venous Thromboembolism (IMPROVE) RAM, and Shijitan (SJT) RAM were compared. This study included a total of 595 internal medicine inpatients, including 242 (40.67%) in the respiratory department, 17 (2.86%) in the respiratory intensive care unit, 49 (8.24%) in the neurology department, 34 (5.71%) in the intensive care unit, 26 (4.37%) in the geriatric department, 22 (3.70%) in the emergency department, 71 (11.93%) in the nephrology department, 63 (10.59%) in the cardiology department, 24 (4.03%) in the hematology department, 6 (1.01%) in the traditional Chinese medicine department, 9 (1.51%) cases in the rheumatology department, 7 (1.18%) in the endocrinology department, 14 (2.35%) in the oncology department, and 11 (1.85%) in the gastroenterology department. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that among internal medicine inpatients, age > 60 years old, heart failure, nephrotic syndrome, tumors, history of VTE, and elevated D-dimer were significantly correlated with the occurrence of VTE (P < .05). The incidence of VTE increases with the increase of D-dimer. It was found that the effectiveness of SJT RAM (AUC = 0.80 ± 0.03) was better than Caprini RAM (AUC = 0.74 ± 0.03), Padua RAM (AUC = 0.72 ± 0.03) and IMPROVE RAM (AUC = 0.52 ± 0.03) (P < .05). The sensitivity and Yoden index of SJT RAM were higher than those of Caprini RAM, Pauda RAM, and IMPROVE RAM (P < .05), but specificity was not significantly different between the 4 models (P > .05). The SJT RAM derived from general hospitalized Chinese patients has effective and better predictive ability for internal medicine inpatients at risk of VTE.

Fatal pulmonary embolism after surgery for small intestinal necrosis caused by idiopathic portal vein thrombosis: a case report.

BACKGROUND: Portal vein thrombosis (PVT) and venous thromboembolism (VTE) both result from partial or complete occlusion of a blood vessel by a blood clot. The prognosis of PVT is generally good; however, PVT with VTE, including pulmonary embolism (PE), has a high mortality rate. We report here a case of PE after surgery for small intestinal necrosis caused by idiopathic PVT. CASE PRESENTATION: A 69-year-old female attended our hospital with a chief complaint of upper abdominal discomfort, and was diagnosed with necrosis of the small intestine as a result of unexplained PVT. She underwent partial resection of the small intestine. On the second postoperative day, she suffered from respiratory distress and went into cardiopulmonary arrest. The patient recovered following cardiopulmonary resuscitation, but PE was detected. Extracorporeal veno-arterial cardiopulmonary resuscitation and anticoagulation therapy were initiated immediately and the thrombus was aspirated as much as possible. Two days later, extracorporeal veno-arterial cardiopulmonary resuscitation was withdrawn and anticoagulation therapy was continued. The patient subsequently recovered with no neurological damage and was discharged on day 26 after the above procedure. CONCLUSIONS: Idiopathic PVT is often associated with VTE, and a prompt diagnosis and intervention may result in a good prognosis.

Oral anticoagulant therapy in older adults.

Patients aged ≥65 years not only account for the majority of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and venous thromboembolism (VTE), they are also at a higher risk of morbidity, mortality, and undertreatment than younger patients. Several age-related physiological changes with effects on drug pharmacokinetics/-dynamics and blood vessel fragility as well as the higher prevalence of geriatric conditions such as frailty, multimorbidity, polypharmacy, fall risk, dementia, and malnutrition make older persons more vulnerable to disease- and anticoagulation-related complications. Moreover, because older patients with AF/VTE are underrepresented in oral anticoagulation (OAC) trials, evidence on OAC in older adults with AF/VTE is mainly based on subgroup analyses from clinical trials and observational studies. A growing body of such limited evidence suggests that direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) may be superior in terms of efficacy and safety compared to vitamin K antagonists in older persons with AF/VTE and that specific DOACs may have a differing risk-benefit profile. In this narrative review, we summarize the evidence on epidemiology of AF/VTE, impact of age-related physiological changes, efficacy/safety of OAC, specifically considering individuals with common geriatric conditions, and review OAC guideline recommendations for older adults with AF/VTE. We also propose a research agenda to improve the evidence basis on OAC older individuals with AF/VTE, including the conduct of advanced age-specific and pragmatic studies using less restrictive eligibility criteria and patient-reported health outcomes, in order to compare the effectiveness and safety of different DOACs, and investigate lower-dose regimens and optimal OAC durations in older patients.

Evaluation of venous thromboembolism risk assessment models for hospital inpatients: the VTEAM evidence synthesis.

Background: Pharmacological prophylaxis during hospital admission can reduce the risk of acquired blood clots (venous thromboembolism) but may cause complications, such as bleeding. Using a risk assessment model to predict the risk of blood clots could facilitate selection of patients for prophylaxis and optimise the balance of benefits, risks and costs. Objectives: We aimed to identify validated risk assessment models and estimate their prognostic accuracy, evaluate the cost-effectiveness of different strategies for selecting hospitalised patients for prophylaxis, assess the feasibility of using efficient research methods and estimate key parameters for future research. Design: We undertook a systematic review, decision-analytic modelling and observational cohort study conducted in accordance with Enhancing the QUAlity and Transparency Of health Research (EQUATOR) guidelines. Setting: NHS hospitals, with primary data collection at four sites. Participants: Medical and surgical hospital inpatients, excluding paediatric, critical care and pregnancy-related admissions. Interventions: Prophylaxis for all patients, none and according to selected risk assessment models. Main outcome measures: Model accuracy for predicting blood clots, lifetime costs and quality-adjusted life-years associated with alternative strategies, accuracy of efficient methods for identifying key outcomes and proportion of inpatients recommended prophylaxis using different models. Results: We identified 24 validated risk assessment models, but low-quality heterogeneous data suggested weak accuracy for prediction of blood clots and generally high risk of bias in all studies. Decision-analytic modelling showed that pharmacological prophylaxis for all eligible is generally more cost-effective than model-based strategies for both medical and surgical inpatients, when valuing a quality-adjusted life-year at £20,000. The findings were more sensitive to uncertainties in the surgical population; strategies using risk assessment models were more cost-effective if the model was assumed to have a very high sensitivity, or the long-term risks of post-thrombotic complications were lower. Efficient methods using routine data did not accurately identify blood clots or bleeding events and several pre-specified feasibility criteria were not met. Theoretical prophylaxis rates across an inpatient cohort based on existing risk assessment models ranged from 13% to 91%. Limitations: Existing studies may underestimate the accuracy of risk assessment models, leading to underestimation of their cost-effectiveness. The cost-effectiveness findings do not apply to patients with an increased risk of bleeding. Mechanical thromboprophylaxis options were excluded from the modelling. Primary data collection was predominately retrospective, risking case ascertainment bias. Conclusions: Thromboprophylaxis for all patients appears to be generally more cost-effective than using a risk assessment model, in hospitalised patients at low risk of bleeding. To be cost-effective, any risk assessment model would need to be highly sensitive. Current evidence on risk assessment models is at high risk of bias and our findings should be interpreted in this context. We were unable to demonstrate the feasibility of using efficient methods to accurately detect relevant outcomes for future research. Future work: Further research should evaluate routine prophylaxis strategies for all eligible hospitalised patients. Models that could accurately identify individuals at very low risk of blood clots (who could discontinue prophylaxis) warrant further evaluation. Study registration: This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42020165778 and Researchregistry5216. Funding: This award was funded by the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment programme (NIHR award ref: NIHR127454) and will be published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 28, No. 20. See the NIHR Funding and Awards website for further award information.

People who are admitted to hospital are at risk of blood clots that can cause serious illness or death. Patients are often given low doses of blood-thinning drugs to reduce this risk. However, these drugs can cause side effects, such as bleeding. Hospitals currently use complex risk assessment models (risk scores, which usually include patient, disease, mobility and intervention factors) to determine the individual risk of blood clots and identify people most likely to benefit from blood-thinning drugs. There are a lot of different risk scores and we do not know which one is best. We also do not know how these scores compare to each other or whether using scores to decide who should get blood-thinning drugs provides good value for money to the NHS. We reviewed all previous studies of risk scores. We found that they did not predict blood clots very well and we could not recommend one score over another. We then created a mathematical model to simulate the use of blood-thinning drugs in people admitted to hospital. The model suggested that giving blood-thinning drugs to everyone who could have them would probably provide the best value for money, in medical patients. Our findings were the same, but less certain, for surgical patients. We also collected information from four NHS hospitals to explore possibilities for future research. Our work showed that routinely collected electronic data on blood clots and bleeding events is not very accurate and that using different scores could result in variable use of blood-thinning medications. Our findings suggest that it may be better value to the NHS and better for patients if we were to offer blood-thinning medications to everyone on admission to hospital, without using any risk score. However, this approach needs further research to ensure it is safe and effective. Such research would not be able to rely on routine electronic data to identify blood clots or bleeding events, in isolation.

[Peripartum cardiomyopathy with biventricular failure plus pulmonary thromboembolism and atrial septal defect]. / Miocardiopatía periparto con fallo biventricular más tromboembolismo pulmonar y comunicación interauricular.

This case report examines peripartum cardiomyopathy (PPCM), a rare variant of heart failure with reduced ejection fraction, which manifests at the end of labor or puerperium. The frequency of this pathology varies globally, and its association with risk factors such as genetic disorders, autoimmune diseases, viral infections, suggests a multifactorial etiology. Diagnostic criteria include: Heart failure secondary to left ventricular systolic dysfunction, manifested in the puerperium or at the end of pregnancy and lack of other identifiable causes of heart failure. The case presents a patient with no significant personal pathological history, who, 17 days post cesarean section developed acute symptoms, including abdominal pain, dry cough and dyspnea. Clinical findings revealed hypoxemia, alterations in blood tests and an echocardiogram that confirmed an atrial septal defect. Multidisciplinary management resulted in successful treatment and the patient was discharged without complications. This case highlights the importance of MCPP, a disease with high maternal mortality. The connection between atrial septal defect and PPCM, as well as the involvement of pulmonary thromboembolism.

[Translation into French and republication of: "Home treatment for patients with cancer-associated venous thromboembolism"]. / Traduction et republication de : « Traitement à domicile des patients atteints de maladie veineuse thromboembolique associée au cancer ¼.

Patients hospitalised with acute venous thromboembolism (VTE), and notably patients with pulmonary embolism, often remain in hospital for extended periods due to the perceived risk of complications. However, several studies have shown that home treatment of selected patients is feasible and safe, with a low incidence of adverse events. This may offer clear benefits for patients' quality of life, hospital planning and cost to the health service. Nonetheless, there is a need for a VTE risk-stratification tool specifically addressing prognosis in patients with cancer. This may aid in the selection of low-risk patients with cancer and VTE who are suitable for outpatient treatment. Although several prognostic scores have been proposed, we suggest using a pragmatic clinical decision-making tool such as the Hestia criteria for selecting patients for home care in everyday clinical practice. Once patients have been discharged, it is mandatory to monitor patients regularly (we suggest after 3 days, 10 days, 1 month and 3 months, or more frequently if needed) with the involvement of a multidisciplinary team, so that appropriate and timely remedial action can be taken in case of warning signs of complications. If patients are selected carefully and monitored effectively, many patients who experience acute VTE can be cared for safely at home.

Genital Surgery Outcomes Using an Individualized Algorithm for Hormone Management in Transfeminine Individuals.

CONTEXT: Transgender and gender diverse (TGD) individuals have greater access to genital surgery (GS) with improved insurance coverage and access to trained surgeons and interdisciplinary gender affirming providers. OBJECTIVE: To determine perioperative medical and behavioral health outcomes in transfeminine (TF) individuals undergoing GS with use of a specific gender-affirming hormone therapy (GAHT) algorithm based on individualized risk factor assessment. DESIGN: Retrospective observational cohort study from 2017-2022. Pre- and post-operative data collected included clinical and biochemical assessment, GAHT regimens, validated behavioral health measures, and post-operative complications. SETTING: Single-center tertiary referral center. PATIENTS: 183 TF individuals, grouped into estradiol continued (Group 1) vs estradiol temporarily discontinued for 2-6 weeks preoperatively (Group 2). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S): Venous thromboembolism (VTE) incidence, non-VTE postoperative complication incidence, and change in behavioral health assessments. RESULTS: The majority of individuals continued estradiol perioperatively [Group 1; 138 (75.4%)]. Individuals who temporarily held estradiol preoperatively [Group 2; 45 (24.6%)] were statistically older (p < 0.01), had higher incidence of cardiometabolic comorbidities (p < 0.01), and higher Caprini scores (p < 0.01). Group 1 was statistically more likely to use oral estradiol (p < 0.01). One episode (0.05%) of VTE occurred (Group 1). There was no significant difference in postoperative complications or behavioral health measures between groups. CONCLUSION: An individualized algorithm for preoperative hormone management for TF GS resulted in perioperative continuation of GAHT for the majority of individuals without significantly increasing the risk for post-operative surgical complications while maintaining stable behavioral health measures perioperatively.

Thromboprophylaxis in multiple myeloma: a case-based review with practical guidelines.

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) poses a significant challenge in the context of multiple myeloma, with an incidence of up to 10% in newly diagnosed patients and varying frequency in the relapsed/refractory setting. Accurate VTE risk assessment and personalized thromboprophylaxis strategies are important parts of supportive care in myeloma. There are three validated risk assessment models for prediction of VTE risk in newly diagnosed myeloma-SAVED, IMPEDE-VTE, and PRISM. In this review, we delve into the practical applications of VTE risk prediction models in the context of current therapies. By emphasizing the necessity of a tailored approach, we underscore the importance of considering patient-specific, disease-specific, and treatment-specific risk factors in each clinical scenario, and using that data to complement the output from risk assessment models. We also provide a summary of currently available data on VTE thromboprophylaxis in myeloma, and highlight specific situations where direct oral anticoagulants should be strongly considered. Our objective is to fill the critical gaps in VTE prophylaxis and management through the analysis of specific patient cases and provide a practical overview for clinicians.

Venous thromboembolism in patients with acute myeloid leukemia: development of a predictive model.

BACKGROUND: Patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) are at increased risk of venous thromboembolic events (VTE). However, thromboprophylaxis is largely underused. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to determine possible VTE development risk factors and to develop a novel predictive model. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of adult patients with newly diagnosed AML. We used univariate and multivariable logistic regression to estimate binary outcomes and identify potential predictors. Based on our final model, a dynamic nomogram was constructed with the goal of facilitating VTE probability calculation. RESULTS: Out of 626 eligible patients with AML, 72 (11.5%) developed VTE during 6 months of follow-up. Six parameters were independent predictors: male sex (odds ratio [OR] 1.82, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.077-2.065), prior history of thrombotic events (OR 2.27, 95% CI: 1.4-4.96), international normalized ratio (OR 0.21, 95% CI: 0.05-0.95), Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (OR 0.71, 95% CI: 0.53-0.94), and intensive therapy (OR 2.05, 95% CI: 1.07-3.91). The C statistics for the model was 0.68. The model was adequately calibrated and internally validated. The decision-curve analysis suggested the use of thromboprophylaxis in patients with VTE risks between 8 and 20%. CONCLUSION: We developed a novel and convenient tool that may assist clinicians in identifying patients whose VTE risk is high enough to warrant thromboprophylaxis.